Atmospheric circulation internal variability contribution and global climate change

Denis Yu. Vasil'ev; Vladimir A. Semenov; Vladimir V. Vodopyanov; Ekaterina S. Kochetkova; Nikita V. Velikanov; Alexey N. Yelizariev

doi:10.1117/12.2574452

12 November 2020 Atmospheric circulation internal variability contribution and global climate change

Denis Yu. Vasil'ev, Vladimir A. Semenov, Vladimir V. Vodopyanov, Ekaterina S. Kochetkova, Nikita V. Velikanov, Alexey N. Yelizariev

Author Affiliations +

Proceedings Volume 11560, 26th International Symposium on Atmospheric and Ocean Optics, Atmospheric Physics; 115605Y (2020) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2574452
Event: 26th International Symposium on Atmospheric and Ocean Optics, Atmospheric Physics, 2020, Moscow, Russian Federation

Abstract

Local climate changes differ significantly from global trends and require tailored mitigation practices. Here, we analyze the surface temperature data from the network of meteorological stations in the Southern Urals and the numerical experiments over the period from 1979 to 2012. The isolated greenhouse effect was evaluated using the global atmospheric general circulation model (ECHAM5). Simulations with constant concentrations of CO2 and CH4 at the level of the 1980s describe the real values of surface temperature better than scenarios in which the concentration of greenhouse gases changed according to observations.

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Denis Yu. Vasil'ev, Vladimir A. Semenov, Vladimir V. Vodopyanov, Ekaterina S. Kochetkova, Nikita V. Velikanov, and Alexey N. Yelizariev "Atmospheric circulation internal variability contribution and global climate change", Proc. SPIE 11560, 26th International Symposium on Atmospheric and Ocean Optics, Atmospheric Physics, 115605Y (12 November 2020); https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2574452

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